Süper Lig
Konyaspor vs 
Trabzonspor Double Chance
Part of a bigger picture: see the full match page, where this comes from.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Home or Away at 74.3%, its strongest read on the Double Chance market. On the result, Trabzonspor are favoured at 45.3%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.4 goals a game. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Double Chance
Draw no bet
Draw no bet: the draw is taken out and the remaining probability is split between the two sides.
Winning margin
| Margin | Probability |
|---|---|
| Konyaspor by 1 | 16.6% |
| Konyaspor by 2 | 8.3% |
| Konyaspor by 3+ | 4.1% |
| Trabzonspor by 1 | 21.6% |
| Trabzonspor by 2 | 13.9% |
| Trabzonspor by 3+ | 9.8% |
| Draw | 25.6% |
Goal handicap
| Konyaspor line | Konyaspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12.4% | 87.6% |
| -0.5 | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| +0.5 | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| +1.5 | 76.3% | 23.7% |
Double chance is the cautious read on the result market. The highest-probability cover is Konyaspor or Trabzonspor on the model numbers.
In-depth analysis
57.6%Both Teams to Score
54.5%Over 2.5 goalsFor context, Trabzonspor are favoured at 45.3%. How the game flows often matters more here than the pre-match favourite.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Konyaspor 2 · 0 draws · Trabzonspor 3 · 3.4 goals/game.
FAQ
What is the most likely double chance in Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor?
Home or Away is the highest-probability double chance for Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor at 74.3%.
What is the draw no bet probability in Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor?
With the draw taken out, the model rates Konyaspor at 39.0% and Trabzonspor at 61.0%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Double Chance accuracy
How our Double Chance calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 39,986 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Double Chance actually happened 73.4% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Double Chance calls
The model’s most recent graded Double Chance predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Süper Lig, Double Chance
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.