Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction & probabilities (2026-08-29)

Süper Lig

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor Both Teams to Score

2026-08-29 · 17:00
Both Teams to Score58.0%Both teams to score · No

Result

Konyaspor 1-2 Kocaelispor
✕ No

We called No at 58.0% and it missed.

Best predictionBoth teams to score · No · 58.0%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.
58%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 58.0%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Konyaspor have averaged 1.0 scored and 2.6 conceded, Kocaelispor 0.6 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 35.1% for over 2.5 and 62.7% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 4.0 goals a game. Konyaspor have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Kocaelispor in 1 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

Yes42.0%

★ ModelNo58.0%

Over 2.5 · context35.1%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Konyaspor scored

1.0

Konyaspor conceded

2.6

Kocaelispor scored

0.6

Kocaelispor conceded

1.0

Each team to score

Konyaspor to score70.2%

Konyaspor 2+ goals34.2%

Kocaelispor to score58.9%

Kocaelispor 2+ goals22.4%

By half

Both score in 1st half12.7%

Both score in 2nd half19.8%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

12.9%

0

24.4%

1

27.7%

2

18.9%

3

9.9%

4

6.1%

5+

In-depth analysis

42.9%Favoured: Konyaspor
42.0%Both Teams to Score
35.1%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 35.1% for three or more goals and 62.7% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Konyaspor favoured at 42.9%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. We grade every call after the match.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 58.0% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 35.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutKonyaspor are the model’s pick on the result at 42.9%, context for how the goals may flow.

Match outlook

Konyaspor42.9%

Draw30.7%

Kocaelispor26.4%

The model leans Konyaspor to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

KonyasporLLLLL
KocaelisporDLLLW

Last 2 meetings: Konyaspor 1 · 0 draws · Kocaelispor 1 · 4.0 goals/game.

Recent trends

KonyasporBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5
KocaelisporBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 0/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 42.0%. Both teams scored, final score 1-2.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,318Matches graded

In 20,236 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 52.9%✗ 51.9%✗ 59.3%✗ 50.6%✓ 52.6%✓ 51.6%✗ 51.1%✓ 58.9%✓ 62.2%✗ 52.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Yes 52.9%Hit
Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10No 51.9%Miss
Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Yes 59.3%Miss
Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Yes 50.6%Miss
Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09No 52.6%Hit

More Süper Lig, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.