Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction & probabilities (2026-10-11)

Süper Lig

Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir Both Teams to Score

2026-10-11 · 11:30
Both Teams to Score52.3%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 52.3%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
52%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 52.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.0% for over 2.5 and 75.2% for at least two goals. Konyaspor have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes52.3%

No47.7%

Over 2.5 · context50.0%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Konyaspor scored

0.8

Konyaspor conceded

1.6

Each team to score

Konyaspor to score80.9%

Konyaspor 2+ goals49.2%

Istanbul Basaksehir to score64.0%

Istanbul Basaksehir 2+ goals27.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half20.0%

Both score in 2nd half26.2%

This season (2026/27)

33.3%Konyaspor BTTS rate
33.3%Konyaspor clean sheets
0.7Konyaspor goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.5%

0

17.3%

1

25.2%

2

22.0%

3

14.7%

4

12.6%

5+

In-depth analysis

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

51.6%Favoured: Konyaspor
52.3%Both Teams to Score
50.0%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 50.0% for three or more goals and 75.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Konyaspor favoured at 51.6%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 52.3% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 50.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutKonyaspor are the model’s pick on the result at 51.6%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Konyaspor51.6%

Draw25.6%

Istanbul Basaksehir22.8%

The model leans Konyaspor to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

KonyasporLLLLW

Recent trends

KonyasporBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 52.3% for Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir.

Will Konyaspor score against Istanbul Basaksehir?
The model rates Konyaspor to score at 80.9% and Istanbul Basaksehir to score at 64.0%.

How often have Konyaspor seen both teams score recently?
Konyaspor have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0232Calibration error
55,473Matches graded

In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 58.1%✓ 57.7%✗ 52.4%✗ 50.5%✗ 50.8%✗ 51.4%✗ 50.4%✓ 57.1%✓ 53.6%✗ 50.2%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Betis vs Getafe2026-09-17No 58.1%Hit
Malaga vs Villarreal2026-09-17Yes 57.7%Hit
Ath Madrid vs Osasuna2026-09-16Yes 52.4%Miss
La Coruna vs Sevilla2026-09-16Yes 50.5%Miss
Barcelona vs Santander2026-09-16No 50.8%Miss

More Süper Lig, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.