Cottbus vs Greuther Furth prediction & probabilities (2026-08-29)

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2. Bundesliga

Cottbus vs Greuther Furth Both Teams to Score

2026-08-29 · 12:00
Both Teams to Score61.6%Both teams to score · Yes

Result

Cottbus 3-4 Greuther Furth
✓ Yes

We called Yes at 61.6% and it landed.

Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 61.6%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.
62%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 61.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Cottbus have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded, Greuther Furth 1.6 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 58.6% for over 2.5 and 81.3% for at least two goals. Cottbus have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 2, Greuther Furth in 4 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes61.6%

No38.4%

Over 2.5 · context58.6%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Cottbus scored

1.5

Cottbus conceded

2.0

Greuther Furth scored

1.6

Greuther Furth conceded

1.6

Each team to score

Cottbus to score78.2%

Cottbus 2+ goals45.0%

Greuther Furth to score78.1%

Greuther Furth 2+ goals44.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half30.5%

Both score in 2nd half30.1%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

5.3%

0

13.4%

1

22.6%

2

22.4%

3

17.0%

4

18.3%

5+

In-depth analysis

37.5%Favoured: Cottbus
61.6%Both Teams to Score
58.6%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 58.6% for three or more goals and 81.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Cottbus favoured at 37.5%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 61.6% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 58.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutCottbus are the model’s pick on the result at 37.5%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Match outlook

Cottbus37.5%

Draw25.2%

Greuther Furth37.3%

The model leans Cottbus to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

CottbusWL
Greuther FurthDLWDL

Recent trends

CottbusBTTS 1/2Over 2.5 2/2
Greuther FurthBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Cottbus vs Greuther Furth?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 61.6%. Both teams scored, final score 3-4.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,318Matches graded

In 5,754 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.9% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 52.9%✗ 51.9%✗ 59.3%✗ 50.6%✓ 52.6%✓ 51.6%✗ 51.1%✓ 58.9%✓ 62.2%✗ 52.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Yes 52.9%Hit
Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10No 51.9%Miss
Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Yes 59.3%Miss
Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Yes 50.6%Miss
Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09No 52.6%Hit

More 2. Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

Bochum vs Greuther FurthBraunschweig vs DresdenMagdeburg vs KaiserslauternSt Pauli vs WolfsburgHeidenheim vs Holstein KielKarlsruhe vs Cottbus

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

2. BundesligaCottbusGreuther FurthTrack record

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.