Ligue 2
Clermont vs Sochaux Cards
Result
Settled, final score 0-0. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 3.5 cards at 47.1%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 68.6% for over 2.5 to 14.7% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.1%. On the card count, Sochaux are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 40.6%, with a level count at 22.1%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Cards (bookings)
Total cards, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 cards | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| 3.5 cards | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| 4.5 cards | 28.1% | 71.9% |
| 5.5 cards | 14.7% | 85.3% |
Who picks up more cards
Team card lines
51.5%
25.0%
54.0%
27.2%
Card handicap
| Clermont line | Clermont | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19.0% | 81.0% |
| -0.5 | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| +0.5 | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| +1.5 | 78.5% | 21.5% |
Red card
Fouls
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 fouls | 86.7% | 13.3% |
| 22.5 fouls | 76.8% | 23.2% |
| 24.5 fouls | 64.2% | 35.8% |
The discipline market is less analysed than goals, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Clermont vs Sochaux. The model leans toward Sochaux for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
47.1%Over 3.5 cards12.5%Any red card51.5%Clermont over 1.5 cards54.0%Sochaux over 1.5 cards76.8%Over 22.5 foulsBy team, Clermont over 1.5 cards sits at 51.5% and Sochaux at 54.0%. A red card for either side is rated at 12.5% (Clermont 6.9%, Sochaux 6.0%).
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many cards in Clermont vs Sochaux?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 3.5 total cards at 47.1% for Clermont vs Sochaux.
Will there be a red card in Clermont vs Sochaux?
Before kickoff, the model rated a red card for either side at 12.5%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Clermont vs Sochaux?
Before kickoff, the model rated Sochaux to pick up more cards at 40.6%, with a level count at 22.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Cards accuracy
How our Cards calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 10,145 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Cards actually happened 48.6% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Cards calls
The model’s most recent graded Cards predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Ligue 2, Cards
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.