ChampionshipBolton vs Cardiff Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 51.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Bolton have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded, Cardiff 1.2 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.2% for over 2.5 and 72.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. Bolton have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Cardiff in 4 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.8
2.2
1.2
1.8
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
50.0%Bolton BTTS rate16.7%Bolton clean sheets
1.0Bolton goals scored per game83.3%Cardiff BTTS rate0.0%Cardiff clean sheets1.2Cardiff goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
51.6%Both Teams to Score46.2%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 46.2% for three or more goals and 72.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Bolton favoured at 42.0%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Bolton to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Bolton 2 · 0 draws · Cardiff 3 · 3.0 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Bolton vs Cardiff?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 51.6% for Bolton vs Cardiff.
Will Bolton score against Cardiff?
The model rates Bolton to score at 75.0% and Cardiff to score at 67.9%.
How often have Bolton seen both teams score recently?
Bolton have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Cardiff in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 26,581 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 11 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Championship, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.