Süper Lig
Amedspor vs 
Buyuksehyr Shots
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 24.5 shots at 53.9%, its strongest read on the Shots market. The total-shots ladder runs from 65.9% for over 22.5 to 30.9% for over 28.5, with over 24.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 53.9%. Head to head on shots, Amedspor are the model’s pick to have more shots at 62.6%, with a level count at 5.7%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Shots
Total shots, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 shots | 65.9% | 34.1% |
| 24.5 shots | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| 26.5 shots | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| 28.5 shots | 30.9% | 69.1% |
Who takes more shots
Team shot lines
75.1%
59.8%
43.9%
55.1%
37.5%
23.1%
Shot handicap
| Amedspor line | Amedspor | Buyuksehyr |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 38.4% | 61.6% |
| -2.5 | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| -0.5 | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| +0.5 | 68.2% | 31.8% |
Shots on target
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 shots on target | 75.4% | 24.6% |
| 7.5 shots on target | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| 8.5 shots on target | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| 9.5 shots on target | 39.9% | 60.1% |
Recent shot volume
Shots taken and faced per game over each side’s last 6 matches, from real match data.
Shot counts move with pressure, not with the result, below are the model total-shot probabilities. It edges Amedspor.
In-depth analysis
53.9%Over 24.5 shots59.8%Amedspor over 12.5 shots37.5%Buyuksehyr over 12.5 shots63.9%Over 7.5 on targetSplit by side, Amedspor over 12.5 shots sits at 59.8% and Buyuksehyr at 37.5%.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many shots in Amedspor vs Buyuksehyr?
The model rates over 24.5 total shots at 53.9% for Amedspor vs Buyuksehyr.
Which team will have more shots in Amedspor vs Buyuksehyr?
The model rates Amedspor to take more shots at 62.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Shots accuracy
How our Shots calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 12,849 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Shots actually happened 56.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Shots calls
The model’s most recent graded Shots predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Süper Lig, Shots
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.