League TwoShrewsbury vs Northampton Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 53.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Shrewsbury have averaged 0.4 scored and 2.0 conceded, Northampton 0.6 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 40.3% for over 2.5 and 67.5% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 2.5 goals a game. Shrewsbury have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Northampton in 2 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.4
2.0
0.6
0.6
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
20.0%Shrewsbury BTTS rate20.0%Shrewsbury clean sheets
0.4Shrewsbury goals scored per game40.0%Northampton BTTS rate40.0%Northampton clean sheets0.6Northampton goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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5+
In-depth analysis
46.9%Both Teams to Score40.3%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 40.3% for three or more goals and 67.5% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Shrewsbury favoured at 40.0%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Shrewsbury to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Shrewsbury 0 · 1 draws · Northampton 1 · 2.5 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 46.9% for Shrewsbury vs Northampton.
Will Shrewsbury score against Northampton?
The model rates Shrewsbury to score at 71.2% and Northampton to score at 65.0%.
How often have Shrewsbury seen both teams score recently?
Shrewsbury have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Northampton in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 20,236 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.