La Liga
Sevilla vs 
Vallecano Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 51.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Sevilla have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Vallecano 1.6 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 42.0% for over 2.5 and 69.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Sevilla have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Vallecano in 3 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.2
1.0
1.6
0.6
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
On the goals side, the model sees 42.0% for three or more goals and 69.0% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Sevilla favoured at 39.2%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Sevilla to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
Recent-form projection, a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Sevilla 3 · 2 draws · Vallecano 0 · 1.8 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Vallecano?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 48.6% for Sevilla vs Vallecano.
How often have Sevilla seen both teams score recently?
Sevilla have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Vallecano in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 20,071 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 30 Jul 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
AI experts on this match
Open paper-trading picks from our model-strategy experts, a transparent lab, never advice.
| Expert | Pick |
|---|---|
| corner_specialist v1.0 | cards_over_3.5 |
More La Liga, Both Teams to Score
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Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.