Osasuna vs Getafe prediction & probabilities (2026-08-31)

La Liga

Osasuna vs Getafe Both Teams to Score

2026-08-31 · 18:30
Both Teams to Score60.9%Both teams to score · No

Result

Osasuna 1-0 Getafe
1 goals before half-time (Osasuna 1, Getafe 0)
✓ No✓ Yes

We called No at 60.9% and it landed. We called Yes at 52.7% and it landed (1 in the match).

Best predictionBoth teams to score · No · 60.9%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.
61%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 60.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Osasuna have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Getafe 1.0 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 33.4% for over 2.5 and 61.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. Osasuna have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Getafe in 1 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

Yes39.1%

★ ModelNo60.9%

Over 2.5 · context33.4%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Osasuna scored

0.8

Osasuna conceded

1.2

Getafe scored

1.0

Getafe conceded

1.0

Each team to score

Osasuna to score71.8%

Osasuna 2+ goals36.2%

Getafe to score53.7%

Getafe 2+ goals18.0%

By half

Both score in 1st half9.4%

Both score in 2nd half18.8%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

13.7%

0

25.3%

1

27.6%

2

18.4%

3

9.4%

4

5.4%

5+

In-depth analysis

48.3%Favoured: Osasuna
39.1%Both Teams to Score
33.4%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 33.4% for three or more goals and 61.0% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Osasuna favoured at 48.3%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 60.9% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianProjects a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 33.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutOsasuna are the model’s pick on the result at 48.3%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Match outlook

Osasuna48.3%

Draw30.3%

Getafe21.4%

The model leans Osasuna to win. See the full prediction →

Key players

R

Raul GarcíaOsasuna · 3.69 shots/90
To score 15.5%

A

Alvaro RodríguezGetafe · 2.71 shots/90
To score 8.8%

This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.

Form & head-to-head

OsasunaLLLDW
GetafeWLWLW

Last 5 meetings: Osasuna 2 · 1 draws · Getafe 2 · 2.8 goals/game.

Recent trends

OsasunaBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
GetafeBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 2/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Osasuna vs Getafe?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 39.1%. Both teams did not both score, final score 1-0.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,318Matches graded

In 2,588 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 44.1% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 52.9%✗ 51.9%✗ 59.3%✗ 50.6%✓ 52.6%✓ 51.6%✗ 51.1%✓ 58.9%✓ 62.2%✗ 52.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Yes 52.9%Hit
Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10No 51.9%Miss
Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Yes 59.3%Miss
Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Yes 50.6%Miss
Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09No 52.6%Hit

More La Liga, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.