Exeter vs Tranmere prediction & probabilities (2026-09-19)

League Two

Exeter vs Tranmere Both Teams to Score

2026-09-19 · 15:00
Both Teams to Score53.8%Both teams to score · Yes

Result

Exeter 0-0 Tranmere
0 goals before half-time (Exeter 0, Tranmere 0)
YesYes

We called Yes at 53.8% and it missed. We called Yes at 57.0% and it missed (0 in the match).

Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 53.8%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
54%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 53.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Exeter have averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded, Tranmere 1.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.5% for over 2.5 and 74.2% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. Exeter have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Tranmere in 3 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes53.8%

No46.2%

Over 2.5 · context48.5%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Exeter scored

0.8

Exeter conceded

0.8

Tranmere scored

1.4

Tranmere conceded

1.4

Each team to score

Exeter to score73.3%

Exeter 2+ goals38.0%

Tranmere to score72.6%

Tranmere 2+ goals37.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half11.0%

Both score in 2nd half22.9%

This season (2026/27)

33.3%Exeter BTTS rate
33.3%Exeter clean sheets
0.7Exeter goals scored per game
50.0%Tranmere BTTS rate
33.3%Tranmere clean sheets
1.5Tranmere goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.0%

0

17.9%

1

25.6%

2

21.8%

3

14.3%

4

12.0%

5+

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

36.8%Favoured: Exeter
53.8%Both Teams to Score
48.5%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 48.5% for three or more goals and 74.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Exeter favoured at 36.8%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 53.8% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 48.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutExeter are the model’s pick on the result at 36.8%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Exeter36.8%

Draw27.5%

Tranmere35.7%

The model leans Exeter to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

ExeterWLDDL
TranmereDDDWL

Last 5 meetings: Exeter 1 · 0 draws · Tranmere 4 · 2.4 goals/game.

Recent trends

ExeterBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 1/5
TranmereBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Exeter vs Tranmere?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 53.8%. Both teams did not both score, final score 0-0.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,617Matches graded

In 26,755 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 61.8%✗ 54.5%✗ 51.3%✓ 55.8%✗ 67.4%✗ 62.0%✓ 64.5%✓ 60.1%✓ 59.0%✓ 55.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool2026-09-20Yes 61.8%Miss
Leeds vs Crystal Palace2026-09-20Yes 54.5%Miss
Manchester City vs Sunderland2026-09-20No 51.3%Miss
Fulham vs Manchester United2026-09-20Yes 55.8%Hit
Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2026-09-20Yes 67.4%Miss

More League Two, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.