Antwerp vs St Truiden prediction & probabilities (2026-08-30)

Pro League

Antwerp vs St Truiden Both Teams to Score

2026-08-30 · 15:00
Both Teams to Score56.0%Both teams to score · Yes

Result

Antwerp 1-4 St Truiden
1 goals before half-time (Antwerp 0, St Truiden 1)
✓ Yes✓ Yes

We called Yes at 56.0% and it landed. We called Yes at 69.2% and it landed (1 in the match).

Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 56.0%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
56%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 56.0%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Antwerp have averaged 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, St Truiden 1.8 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 51.5% for over 2.5 and 76.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. Antwerp have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, St Truiden in 4 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes56.0%

No44.0%

Over 2.5 · context51.5%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Antwerp scored

2.2

Antwerp conceded

1.0

St Truiden scored

1.8

St Truiden conceded

1.6

Each team to score

Antwerp to score76.3%

Antwerp 2+ goals42.1%

St Truiden to score72.7%

St Truiden 2+ goals37.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half19.8%

Both score in 2nd half28.2%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

7.1%

0

16.5%

1

24.9%

2

22.1%

3

15.1%

4

13.7%

5+

In-depth analysis

39.9%Favoured: Antwerp
56.0%Both Teams to Score
51.5%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 51.5% for three or more goals and 76.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Antwerp favoured at 39.9%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 56.0% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 51.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAntwerp are the model’s pick on the result at 39.9%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Antwerp39.9%

Draw26.8%

St Truiden33.4%

The model leans Antwerp to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

AntwerpDWWWD
St TruidenDLWDD

Last 5 meetings: Antwerp 3 · 1 draws · St Truiden 1 · 2.8 goals/game.

Recent trends

AntwerpBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5
St TruidenBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Antwerp vs St Truiden?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 56.0%. Both teams scored, final score 1-4.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,318Matches graded

In 26,581 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 52.9%✗ 51.9%✗ 59.3%✗ 50.6%✓ 52.6%✓ 51.6%✗ 51.1%✓ 58.9%✓ 62.2%✗ 52.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Yes 52.9%Hit
Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10No 51.9%Miss
Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Yes 59.3%Miss
Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Yes 50.6%Miss
Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09No 52.6%Hit

More Pro League, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.